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过程工业的投资决策支持系统

周章玉; 成思危; 华贲; 曾敏刚; 尹清华   

  1. The Key Lab of Enhanced Heat Transfer and Energy Conservation, Ministry of Education, South
    China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510640, China
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2001-12-28 发布日期:2001-12-28
  • 通讯作者: 周章玉

An Investment Decision Support System for Process Industries

ZHOU Zhangyu; CHENG Siwei; HUA Ben; ZENG Mingang; YIN Qinghua   

  1. The Key Lab of Enhanced Heat Transfer and Energy Conservation, Ministry of Education, South
    China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510640, China
  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2001-12-28 Published:2001-12-28

摘要: Most studies on investment evaluation mainly focus on enterprise economic benefits only,
without process operability and sustainability considered. In this paper, we suggest that
investment evaluation in process industries should be executed under three strategic
objectives--enterprise benefits, social benefits and customer benefits. A systematic
investment evaluation and decision-making method with a four-step procedure based on the
analytic hierarchyprocess (AHP) is proposed to evaluate various qualitative and
quantitative elements with various criteria. At the first step, the decision hierarchy is
constructed under the three strategic objectives. Second, pair-wise comparison is utilized
to evaluate the weights of elements and criteria. Third, qualitative elements are
quantified by pair-wise comparison and quantitative elements are re-scaled by a uniform
criterion. At the last, the best choice is made through synthesizing values upward in the
hierarchy. An investment decision support system (DSS) is developed based on Microsoft
Excel, and applied to a retrofit investment of united fluid catalytic cracking(FCC) and
liquefied gas separation process in a refinery plant.

关键词: 过程工业;投资决策支持系统;投资评价;企业;经济效益

Abstract: Most studies on investment evaluation mainly focus on enterprise economic benefits only,
without process operability and sustainability considered. In this paper, we suggest that
investment evaluation in process industries should be executed under three strategic
objectives--enterprise benefits, social benefits and customer benefits. A systematic
investment evaluation and decision-making method with a four-step procedure based on the
analytic hierarchyprocess (AHP) is proposed to evaluate various qualitative and
quantitative elements with various criteria. At the first step, the decision hierarchy is
constructed under the three strategic objectives. Second, pair-wise comparison is utilized
to evaluate the weights of elements and criteria. Third, qualitative elements are
quantified by pair-wise comparison and quantitative elements are re-scaled by a uniform
criterion. At the last, the best choice is made through synthesizing values upward in the
hierarchy. An investment decision support system (DSS) is developed based on Microsoft
Excel, and applied to a retrofit investment of united fluid catalytic cracking(FCC) and
liquefied gas separation process in a refinery plant.

Key words: investment evaluation, decision support system, process industries, analytic hierarchy process