化工学报 ›› 2008, Vol. 59 ›› Issue (9): 2289-2294.

• 过程系统工程 • 上一篇    下一篇

决策网络图方法用于天然气化工企业发展的规划决策

王剑婷,陈定江,胡山鹰   

  1. 清华大学化学工程系
  • 出版日期:2008-09-05 发布日期:2008-09-05

Planning decision for a natural gas chemical company by map of decision network

WANG Jianting, CHEN Dingjiang, HU Shanying   

  • Online:2008-09-05 Published:2008-09-05

摘要:

针对生态工业决策的实践需要设计了“生态工业决策网络图”作为结构化表征生态工业决策问题的工具,探讨了基于这一工具的决策流程;然后以某天然气化工企业产业发展规划的制定过程为例,进行“生态工业决策网络图”应用的案例分析,说明了决策方案的提出,对应的生态工业决策网络图生成和修剪过程,通过直接定性、层次分析法综合以及逻辑推理3类过程完成了系统的决策。

关键词:

生态工业, 决策方法, 决策网络图, 天然气化工

Abstract:

A decision supportive tool “map of decision network for eco-industry”(MDNEI) was presented to structure and integrate the decision problem according to the needs of decision makers.The process of applying the tool was discussed.A MDNEI application based on the eco-industrial development plan of a natural gas chemical company was presented as a case study.The paper shows how the company decision-makers and the consultants brought forward the initial solutions and made choices, and corresponding MDNEI generating and shearing processes.The final solution was obtained based on three kinds of decision processes, directly qualitative judgment, synthetically quantitative judgment and structural inference.

Key words:

生态工业, 决策方法, 决策网络图, 天然气化工