化工学报 ›› 2011, Vol. 62 ›› Issue (S1): 208-214.

• 能源和环境工程 • 上一篇    下一篇

隔板与保护层对球罐爆炸碎片连锁破坏概率的影响

孙东亮,蒋军成,张明广,王志荣   

  1. 南京工业大学城市建设与安全工程学院,江苏省城市与工业安全重点实验室,江苏 南京 210009
  • 出版日期:2011-07-03 发布日期:2011-07-03

  • Online:2011-07-03 Published:2011-07-03

摘要:

依据塑性理论分析了隔板与保护层存在的条件下碎片抛射与破坏目标的过程,建立了碎片穿透隔板后三维体系内的运动方程,并以球罐为例,应用Monte-Carlo法模拟了隔板与保护层对爆炸碎片连锁破坏效应的影响规律。结果表明,隔板仅在其尺寸范围内阻止碎片的飞行,降低部分碰撞概率值;而保护层可占有较大的破坏概率,显著减少目标破坏的可能性。偏差分析显示,保护层对连锁破坏概率的降低程度超过了90%,为隔板情况下的23倍。碎片连锁破坏概率随保护层厚度的变化呈现指数递减关系。研究结果可为球罐防护措施的设计提供理论依据,为了降低多米诺效应出现的频率,应最大限度地避免罐体本身与碎片的接触。

关键词: 球罐, 碎片, 连锁破坏概率, 隔板, 保护层

Abstract:

The fragment flight and damage to the target were investigated in consideration of the clapboard and protective layer based on the plasticity concepts, and the movement equations of fragment in three-dimensional system after its complete penetration to the clapboard were developed.A spherical vessel with fragment projection was taken as an example to explore the influence of the clapboard and protective layer on the domino effect risk by Monte-Carlo simulations.The results show that the clapboard only prevents the projectiles in the range of its size and reduces the impact probability to some extent, but the protective layer occupies the larger probability of rupture and cuts down the failure possibility of target significantly.The relative deviations demonstrate that the protective layer performs more than 90% reduction in the domino effect risk, accounting for 2 to 3 times of that produced by the clapboard.The risk of domino effect occurrence decreases exponentially according to the thickness of the protective layer, and the research can provide theoretical basis for the design of the protective measures of spherical tank.The interaction between the tank and the fragment should be tried to avoid in order to stop the domino effect.

Key words: 球罐, 碎片, 连锁破坏概率, 隔板, 保护层