CIESC Journal ›› 2019, Vol. 70 ›› Issue (6): 2386-2396.DOI: 10.11949/j.issn.0438-1157.20181087

• Process safety • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Multi-level grey dynamic evaluation of external corrosion of pipelines based on cooperative game

Xingguo LEI(),Qingfeng WANG(),Zhong LI   

  1. College of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Beijing University of Chemical Technology, Beijing 100029, China
  • Received:2018-09-27 Revised:2019-01-27 Online:2019-06-05 Published:2019-06-05
  • Contact: Qingfeng WANG

基于合作博弈的管道外腐蚀多层次灰色动态评价

雷兴国(),王庆锋(),李中   

  1. 北京化工大学机电工程学院,北京 100029
  • 通讯作者: 王庆锋
  • 作者简介:<named-content content-type="corresp-name">雷兴国</named-content>(1994—),男,硕士研究生,<email>leixingguobuct@163.com</email>
  • 基金资助:
    国家高技术研究发展计划项目(2014AA041806);国家重点研发计划项目(2016YFF0203305);中国石油科技创新基金项目(2015D-5006-0606)

Abstract:

The external corrosion evaluation of the pipeline can provide a basis for the optimization of the pipeline inspection and maintenance program. Considering the complexity and uncertainty and timeliness of factors of external corrosion of buried pipelines, the grey relational analysis method was introduced to pipeline corrosion evaluation field, so as to propose a multi-level grey dynamic evaluation of external corrosion of pipelines based on cooperative game. Firstly, an evaluation index system of external corrosion of pipelines, in which the soil corrosion, external coating performance, cathodic protection system and stray current interference were included, was established. The subjective weights of the indexes obtained from expert qualitative analysis were quantified by applying improved analytic hierarchy process based on group decision-making. The objective weights of indexes were obtained by detecting real-time data information. After getting the two weights, the synthetic weight of each index was obtained by cooperative game. The dynamic multi-level grey evaluation was established which can be used to determining the risk grade of external corrosion of buried pipelines to be measured. The performance of the proposed method was tested on the practical example about corroded buried pipeline in a certain area. The effectiveness and reasonableness of the constructed model was validated.

Key words: pipeline, corrosion, cooperative game, grey relational analysis, safety, optimization

摘要:

对管道进行外腐蚀评价可以为管道检维修方案的优化提供依据。考虑到埋地管道外腐蚀影响因素的复杂性、不确定性和时效性,将灰关联分析法引入管道安全评价领域,提出了一种基于合作博弈的管道外腐蚀多层次灰色动态评价方法。首先建立包含土壤腐蚀性、防腐层性能、阴极保护有效性和杂散电流干扰强度4个方面的腐蚀综合评价指标体系,再基于群决策的改进层次分析法确定指标主观权重,综合实时检测客观数据信息得到指标客观权重,两种权重通过基于合作博弈的组合赋权确定指标组合权重,在此基础上构建动态的多层次灰色评价方法模型。以某地区埋地管道检测数据验证了所建方法和模型的有效性和合理性。

关键词: 管道, 腐蚀, 合作博弈, 灰关联分析, 安全, 优化

CLC Number: