化工进展

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2013年我国石油化工行业进展回顾与展望

洪定一   

  1. 中国化工学会,北京 100029
  • 出版日期:2014-07-05 发布日期:2014-07-25

Progress of China’s petrochemical industry in 2013 and outlook for 2014

Hong Dingyi   

  1. Chemical Industry and Engineering Society of China,CIESC,Beijing 100029,China
  • Online:2014-07-05 Published:2014-07-25

摘要: 综述了我国石化行业2013年在高油价和经济减速条件下取得的一系列进展。一是全年石化行业运行态势平稳向好,石化产业主营业务收入实现两位数增加,炼油平稳,乙烯向好,经济效益明显改善,石化产业实现利润大幅增加。二是2013年石化生产取得良好业绩,原油加工量达到4.786亿吨,同比增加3.3%;生产成品油2.96亿吨,同比增长4.4%;乙烯产量1623万吨,增长8.5%,丙烯产量为1460万吨,年均增速11%;生产合成树脂5837万吨,增长11%;生产合成橡胶409万吨,增长6.3%,生产合成纤维3739万吨,同比增长7.1%;生产化肥7154万吨,同比增长4.9%。三是建设世界一流石化产业取得新进展,原油加工能力保持世界第二,乙烯生产保持世界第二,芳烃产业链位列世界一流,三大合成材料生产位列前茅,大型炼油乙烯一体化装置首次实现“四年一修”。四是产业转型与产品升级取得新进展,现代煤化工顺利融入石油化工生产体系,国产生物航空煤油获得适航通行证。五是石化技术进步取得新进展,200万吨/年高能效(SHEER)加氢成套技术开发获得成功,200 万吨/年液相循环加氢装置生产出总硫含量为3mg/kg的精制柴油,第二代S-Zorb技术开发成功,将建成15套装置,首次采用拥有我国全部自主知识产权的乙烯技术建成的武汉石化80万吨/年大乙烯装置顺利投产,乙烯关键装备丙烯制冷压缩机组和CBL-R裂解炉双双取得突破,开发自主产权60万吨/年大型联合芳烃技术取得成功并在海南建成装置,节能二代苯乙烯技术开发成功,首套12万吨/年装置在巴陵石化运行,茂金属气相法耐热聚乙烯(PE-RT)管材料实现了工业生产并通过产品认证,我国首套3万吨/年溴化丁基橡胶生产装置在中国石化北京燕山分公司建成,甲醇制芳烃流化床技术万吨级工业试验取得成功。六是高油价下石化产业降本增效模式取得新进展,我国石化产业采取降本增效措施,改进原油资源获取机制初见成效,调整装置结构,提高加工较低成本原油的能力,开展炼油全流程优化工程,提高渣油使用价值,渣油加工按效益分配,加大化工轻油的非油替代力度,降低乙烯原料成本。同时,也对2013年存在的问题进行了思考,包括我国炼油产业显现产能过剩,需要爱护和坚持行之有效的中国特色石化运行模式,消除尾气排放、治理雾霾天气仍存软肋,页岩气重振美国石化产业对我国的启示以及PX 焦虑事件折射出石化科普的重要及企业的责任。 文章还分析了进入2014年,世界经济形势逐步缓慢向好,国际油价走势受美国经济数据提振保持高位振荡,我国经济将持续稳步发展,预计国内生产总值增速与上年持平或略低,产业结构不断调整,城市化进程进一步加快,这些宏观因素为包括成品油、乙烯、丙烯、芳烃、合成树脂、合成橡胶在内的石化产品提供广阔的发展空间,同时也催促石化产业加快向能源化工的转型进程。我国石化产业在2014年的实际运行中,将依托这些重要基础,遵循着重本质安全、重视节能减排、推行绿色低碳、加快结构调整的理念;继续创新运用行之有效的高油价下石化产业降本增效模式和经验,持续攻坚克难,克服产能过剩,决胜市场竞争,在不断提高经济效益方面取得新业绩;在发挥企业技术创新主体作用、产品结构向基础加高端转变方面取得新进展;在践行可持续发展、加快原料结构向能源化工转变方面取得新突破。总之,石化产业2014年呈更加积极复苏态势几成定局,石化产业必将继续为我国经济社会发展做出支柱产业应有的贡献。

关键词: 石油化工行业, 成品油, 乙烯, 芳烃, 合成树脂, 合成橡胶, 产业转型与升级

Abstract: The progress of China’s petrochemical industry under the conditions of high crude price and slowdown in economy in year 2013 is summarized. Firstly,the running of petrochemical industry was smooth and steady,then turning to better;output value and gross profit achieved double-digit growth. Because refinery production ran smoothly and ethylene production turned to better,a significant increase in profits was achieved. Secondly,performance of China's petrochemical production in 2013 was satisfactory. Crude oil processing volume reached 478.6 million tons,an increase of 3.3%. Ethylene production reached 16.23 million tons,an increase of 8.5%. Propylene production reached 14.6 million tons,an increase of 11%. Synthetic resin production reached 58.37 million tons,an increase of 11%. Synthetic rubber production reached 4.09 million tons,an increase of 6.3%. Synthetic fibers production reached 37.39 million tons,an increase of 7.1%. Fertilizers production reached 71.54 million tons,an increase of 4.9%. Thirdly,progress was made in building a world-class petrochemical industry. Crude oil processing volume and ethylene production output were continually keeping the world’s second. Aromatics chain ranked world-class. Production of three synthetic materials was in the forefront. Large refining and ethylene plants for the first time realized an overhaul once every four years. Fourthly,new progress was made in the transformation and upgrading of petrochemical industry. Modern coal chemical industry was smoothly integrated into the petrochemical production system. Petrochemical industry was intervening to biomass chemical,and aviation kerosene was successfully produced by using biomass and obtained airworthiness passport. Fifthly,about technology progress,2000kt/a high efficiency (SHEER) hydrogenation package technology was successfully developed. A 2000kt/a diesel liquid circulation hydrogenation unit can produce refined diesel fuel with a total sulfur content of 3mg/kg. The second-generation of S-Zorb technology development was successful,and 15 sets for producing European V grade gasoline would be built. Wuhan Petrochemical 800kt/a steam cracking plant was built for the first time using proprietary ethylene technology and was put into operation. Breakthrough was made in propylene refrigeration compressor for 100MT/a ethylene cracker and CBL-R pyrolysis furnace. A large integrated aromatics plant with capacity of 600kt/a was successfully built in Hainan using proprietary technology. 120kt/a second generation styrene technology with energy-saving feature was successfully developed and put into operation at the Baling Petrochemical. Gas-phase metallocene polyethylene grade (PE-RT) for pipe making was produced and achieved certification. China’s first set of 30kt/a brominated butyl rubber production plant was successfully built at the Yanshan Petrochemical. The industrial test for methanol to aromatics fluidized bed technology was successful at ten thousand tons scale. Sixthly,the key role of the petrochemical operation mode for cost reduction and efficiency enhancement under high crude price and medium economy growth conditions was also emphasized,including improving access mechanism to oil resources,improving the ability to process lower cost crude oil,carrying out the full refining process optimization project,allocating residue according to economic benefit of residue processing,increasing efforts to alternative chemical light oil with non-oil raw materials. At the same time,some problems at potential or deep level in 2013 were also considered,including overcapacity of China’s oil refining industry,adhering to well-established petrochemical operation mode with Chinese characteristics,weakness in eliminating emissions,inspiration drawn from revitalization of US petrochemical industry by shale gas,and the PX anxiety event reflecting the importance of popularizing petrochemical science. Based on analysis of the situation in 2014,some better running conditions for petrochemical industry were noticed,such as China’s macro economy will continuously keep steady running,GDP growth will be flat or slightly lower than last year,it is expected that China’s domestic market in 2014 will demand more gasoline and diesel,ethylene,propylene,aromatics,synthetic resins and synthetic rubber. China’s petrochemical industry in the actual operation in 2014 will rely on this important foundation to keep running more safely,to stress energy conservation and emissions reduction,to implement green low-carbon concept,to accelerate structural adjustment,to continuously use the proven high crude price operation mode and experience,to persist in overcoming overcapacity for winning market competition,to achieve new results in enhancing economic efficiency continuously,to play the main role of enterprise in technological innovation,to make new progress in shifting towards product structure of basic plus high-end,to make breakthrough in sustainable development and accelerating structural changes of raw material to the energy chemical type. Finally,petrochemical industry in 2014 will show more positive recovery trend. It is expected that as China’s pillar industry,petrochemical industry will make more contribution for economic and social development.

Key words: petrochemical industry, gasoline and diesel, ethylene, propylene, aromatics, synthetic resins, synthetic rubber, transformation and upgrading of the petrochemical industrial